Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.098059 0.113274 0.130067 0.149979 0.172948 0.198620 0.229502
2026-01-18 0.073802 0.094146 0.118897 0.151232 0.192393 0.243083 0.310339
2026-01-25 0.059396 0.081213 0.109624 0.149349 0.203524 0.274930 0.376411
2026-02-01 0.048657 0.070395 0.100316 0.144531 0.208311 0.297162 0.430715
2026-02-08 0.042794 0.065017 0.097106 0.146856 0.222197 0.332311 0.506069
2026-02-15 0.037771 0.059949 0.093375 0.147468 0.233031 0.363566 0.578708
2026-02-22 0.034014 0.056183 0.090927 0.149396 0.245628 0.398300 0.660133
2026-03-01 0.029891 0.051226 0.085893 0.146381 0.249663 0.419564 0.721861
2026-03-08 0.026566 0.047125 0.081678 0.144044 0.254256 0.441805 0.787194
2026-03-15 0.024372 0.044662 0.079867 0.145476 0.265240 0.475669 0.876011
2026-03-22 0.023279 0.043999 0.081055 0.152243 0.286266 0.529019 1.005374
2026-03-29 0.021949 0.042726 0.080969 0.156598 0.303228 0.576629 1.129193
2026-04-05 0.020574 0.041241 0.080393 0.160085 0.319191 0.624552 1.260147
2026-04-12 0.019064 0.039320 0.078780 0.161388 0.331085 0.666055 1.383542
2026-04-19 0.017362 0.036804 0.075707 0.159378 0.336029 0.694273 1.483028
2026-04-26 0.015541 0.033825 0.071367 0.154235 0.333868 0.707754 1.553077
2026-05-03 0.014640 0.032690 0.070692 0.156716 0.348028 0.756402 1.703791
2026-05-10 0.013663 0.031273 0.069259 0.157370 0.358239 0.797615 1.842670
2026-05-17 0.012893 0.030227 0.068507 0.159428 0.371743 0.847294 2.006100
2026-05-24 0.011793 0.028298 0.065587 0.156210 0.372818 0.869257 2.107690
2026-05-31 0.010852 0.026638 0.063100 0.153716 0.375279 0.894568 2.219975
2026-06-07 0.010265 0.025760 0.062336 0.155243 0.387508 0.943924 2.396233
2026-06-14 0.010074 0.025836 0.063840 0.162467 0.414455 1.031217 2.676768